Konferenz: 100 Jahre Woodrow Wilson und die Ukraine 

Am 6. Februar 1924 verstarb US-Präsident Woodrow Wilson, seine Entscheidungen haben bis heute auch großen Einfluss unter anderem auf die Ukraine. Aus diesem Anlass lud auf Initiative des Historikers Dr. Kurt Bednar das Institut für Osteuropäische Geschichte an der Universität Wien am 21. Februar 2024 zu einer Konferenz.  

Nach der Begrüßung durch Institutsvorstand Univ. Prof. Dr. Christoph Augustynowicz, sowie Baron Lobstein Political-Economic Counselor der US-Botschaft, gab Bednar eine Einführung in den historisch-persönlichen Hintergrund zu Wilson. Univ. Prof. Dr. Kerstin-Susanne Jobst sprach über die Staatsgründung der Ukraine durch Brest-Litowsk im Frühjahr 1918, gefolgt von der Rolle der Ukraine auf der Pariser Friedenskonferenz 1919, vorgetragen durch Prof. Augustynowicz.  

Über die aktuelle Situation der Ukraine sprach IDM Direktor Sebastian Schäffer, der neben der militärischen Lage auch seine Erfahrungen aus dem zwei Tage zuvor in Berlin stattgefundenen Cafe Kyiv zusammenfasste. Mit dem “Dilemma der Gleichzeitigkeit 2.0” beschreibt Schäffer – in Anlehnung an den Anfang der 1990er Jahre durch Claus Offe geprägten Begriff für die parallel laufenden Transformationsprozesse nach dem Zerfall der Sowjetunion – die aktuelle Herausforderung für die EU sowohl Erweiterung, als auch Vertiefung wieder zusammenzuführen und voranzutreiben, ebenso aber auch endlich das Versprechen einer geopolitischen Union zu Erfüllen.  

Zum Abschluss sprach der Journalist Stefan Schocher, der auch seine persönlichen Eindrücke aus der Ukraine schilderte.  

 

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Vor 100 Jahren in der Zukunft

IDM Director Sebastian Schäffer at Cafe Kyiv in Berlin

On 19 February, shortly before entering the third year of the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation in Ukraine, the second edition of Cafe Kyiv was organised by the Konrad-Adenauer-Foundation in Berlin. Already in 2023, the historic Cafe Moskau in the Eastern part of the German capital city was renamed to Cafe Kyiv for a day. Something that could become permanent, whcih was mentioned by the Ukrainian ambassador to Germany during the opening to the Mayor of Berlin, who was also present. This time the location was the even more historic Colosseum, a cinema located in Prenzlauer Berg. Around 5000 visitors participated in political discussions, contributed to charity at a pop-up market, engaged in workshops, watched films, and enjoyed fashion, art as well as Ukrainian cuisine. More than 100 partners implemented 120 program items on 10 stages – all named after Ukrainian cities. IDM Director Sebastian Schäffer was among the 260 speakers. On the Odesa stage, he presented his edited book “Ukraine in Central and Eastern Europe” but also talked about “Dilemma of Simultaneity 2.0: Ukraine’s Integration and the EU’s Future”. The panel titled “Can Ukraine Resist the Russian Assault? Answers from New Studies of Ukraine’s Foreign Affairs” was organised by the publisher ibidem and moderated by IDM IC Member Andreas Umland. While on stage – located in the hallway of the cinema next to the stairs on the second floor – European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen made a surprise visit. The whole day was packed with interesting exchanges on ond off the stages transporting the overall motto, the famous saying of the first German Federal Chancellor and namesake of the organising foundation: “Wir wählen die Freiheit (We choose freedom)”. 

Photo credit: Sebastian Schäffer/Christian Schön 

 

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IDM Short Insights 32: Dilemma of simultaneity 2.0

Péter Techet on the Mafia state and Clan Loyalty in Orbán’s Hungary for “taz”

In the German newspaper “TAZ,” Peter Techet, research associate at IDM, wrote an op-ed regarding the current scandal in Hungary (following the resignation of the President of the State), i.e. the revelations from a Fidesz insider about the regime as a “family business.” Techet argues that Hungary is a post-communist Mafia state: the Orbán regime is not held together by an ideology, but by pure clan loyalty.

The article can be read here.

Sebastian Schäffer for Fair Observer: Make Sense of the New Central Europe and the EU

Sebastian Schäffer discussed about what is going on in Central Europe with Fair Observer since the region has seen a rise in populist, nationalist political parties that seemingly stand against the values of the EU. Member states like Hungary are even backsliding on democracy. Hungary has blocked some financial aid from entering Ukraine as it enters its third year of war with Russia.

You can watch the whole interview here.

 

Ukrainische Geflüchtete in Polen: Analyse von Malwina Talik im Jahrbuch der Polnischen Akademie der Wissenschaften (Wien)



Foto: Polnische Akademie der Wissenschaften – Wissenschaftliches Zentrum in Wien

 

Vor der russischen Großinvasion auf die Ukraine war Polen für viele Ukrainer*innen ein Zielland für Arbeitsmigration, wobei die Männer die Mehrheit stellten. Am 24. Februar 2024 änderte sich diese Dynamik, als Millionen Menschen vor dem Krieg flüchten mussten. Vor allem Frauen und Kinder flohen ins Ausland, da Männer das Land nicht verlassen durften. Unsere Kollegin Malwina Talik analysierte die Auswirkungen des Krieges auf die ukrainische Diaspora in Polen im ersten Jahr des Konflikts in ihrem Artikel “Von Arbeits- zur Fluchtmigration: Die Ukrainer*innen in Polen im ersten Jahr der russischen Großinvasion”, der in der neuen Ausgabe des Jahrbuchs des Wissenschaftlichen Zentrums der Polnischen Akademie der Wissenschaften in Wien erschienen ist.

Panel Discussion “Youth, Democracy, and Right-Wing Extremism”

February 18, 2024, St. Gilgen am Wolfgangsee

During the annual seminar of the Green Student Organization “Verde,” a panel discussion on the far-right tendencies in Austria and other European countries took place. Péter Techet, research associate at the Institute for the Danube Region and Central Europe (IDM), participated in the discussion. Other participants were Lena Schilling, the lead candidate for the Austrian Greens in the European Parliament elections, Barbara Neßler, member of the Austrian National Council for the Greens, and Paul Schmidt, chairman of the Austrian Society for European Politics.

Techet analysed the situation in several countries, such as Germany, Italy, and Hungary, as well as the differences between the Alternative for Germany (AfD) and the Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ). He also discussed whether and how far-right parties could network after the European Parliament elections. Lena Schilling presented the Green strategy for the next European Parliament, Barbara Neßler spoke about the right-wing tendencies in Austrian politics, and Paul Schmidt emphasized the importance of the European Parliament elections. Subsequently, the participants, i.e. members of “Verde,” could also ask questions.

Péter Techet about the consequences of resignation of the Hungarian president for ARTE

In the evening news of the Franco-German cultural channel ARTE, Péter Techet, research associate at the IDM, discussed whether the resignation of the Hungarian president and the criticism from a former Fidesz insider could endanger Viktor Orbán’s power.

You can watch the statement here in German (after 8:00) or in French (after 7:47).

Book Presentation and Discussion: “Post-Communist Regimes and Mafia States in Eastern Europe: The Case of Hungary”

February 14, 2024, IDM

On February 14, 2024, the concept of two Hungarian sociologists, Bálint Magyar and Bálint Madlovics (CEU Democracy Institute), focusing on post-communist regimes and Hungary as a “post-communist mafia state” was presented at the Institute for Danube Region and Central Europe (IDM) in Vienna.

According to the concept of the authors, post-communist regimes cannot be understood based on the prevailing ideology but the informal structures must be analysed. Depending on whether the oligarchy is plural or monopolistic, or how the state pursues criminal goals, states of Eastern Europe can be categorized. According to concept, Hungary is a “mafia state” where a mafia-like clique has seized control of the entire country. Therefore, corruption is not a crime or abnormality but rather the essence of this state. A “mafia state” is not a state where the mafia tries to infiltrate the state; rather, it is a state where the mafia itself becomes the state, where the law is set and applied for criminal purposes. In a “mafia state,” there is no competition among different oligarchs; everything is subject to a single criminal power centre. Such a system operates “feudally”: the “Lord” is at the top, and even the “oligarchs” receive their wealth from him. Clan loyalty, not ideology, holds the system together.

At the beginning of the event, Péter Techet, a research associate at the Institute for the Danube Region and Central Europe (IDM), briefly introduced the concept of the “post-communist mafia state.” Techet mentioned a recent scandal in Hungary: After the President of the State, Katalin Novák, had to resign due to pardoning an accomplice in a child abuse case, a Fidesz insider spoke out unusually harshly and openly against the regime. The former Fidesz insider also resigned from all his positions and stated that the country had become a “family business.” Techet emphasized that the former Fidesz insider addressed the phenomenon that the two sociologists, Bálint Magyar and Bálint Madlovics, analyse and describe in their concept of a “post-communist mafia state.”

Paul Lendvai, an expert of Eastern Europe and columnist for the daily newspaper “Der Standard,” hold the book’s laudation. He argued that the European Union and Western European politicians still do not understand Eastern Europe and therefore have not found a way to deal with the post-communist regimes there. Lendvai stressed that Hungary is not an isolated case because other autocrats in the region also seek to follow the Hungarian model. He recommended that everyone should know the concept of Magyar and Madlovics because it provides a very realistic description of Eastern European conditions.

After Lendvai’s introduction, the two authors, Magyar and Madlovics, gave a lecture on their concept. They explained how a mafia state functions, how ideologies and the legal system are used, and how such a state should be treated as a criminal organization. They also discussed the significant differences between Hungary, Ukraine, and Poland: in Poland, the national conservatives did not alter the state in criminal interest; in Ukraine, a feudal power centre did not emerge. In contrast, Hungary is not an oligarchic democracy because the oligarchs themselves depend on a single power centre. Magyar and Madlovics emphasized that the ideologies Viktor Orbán uses in his rhetoric serve only to hide the true criminal purpose of the Hungarian “mafia state.” Therefore, it is misleading to see Orbán as a Christian conservative or as a right-wing nationalist; his politics aim not at realizing an ideology but at securing familial power.

Following the lecture, a panel discussion took place, also with Helmut Brandstätter, Member of the National Council and lead candidate of the Neos for the European Parliament elections. Unfortunately, Ewa Dziedzic-Ernst, Member of the National Council for the Greens, had to cancel her participation due to another appointment. During the discussion, Brandstätter emphasized that the European Union should take a more consistent and decisive stance against illiberal tendencies. He argued that the European Union had financed such systems as in Hungary for too long. Magyar advocated for a different approach by the EU toward Hungary, suggesting that European integration should deepen without Hungary’s involvement. Lendvai also stressed that the European Union still does not understand that Hungary used EU funding to expand its “mafia state.” The discussion also addressed the negative role of German capital in Hungary in building the Orbán system: Madlovics explained how Orbán economically supports and politically needs German companies in Hungary. In return, German companies accept the rules of a “mafia state.” However, Brandstätter and Lendvai also pointed out that Orbán not only built a “mafia state” in Hungary but also supports anti-European forces in the EU, making it essential for the EU to halt developments in Hungary with legal and financial means.

Péter Techet on the mafia state in Hungary

In the Italian daily newspaper “Domani,” Péter Techet, research associate at the Institute for the Danube Region and Central Europe (IDM), was also interviewed about the current scandal in Hungary, which occurred following the resignation of President Katalin Novák. An insider from the Fidesz party revealed in an interview: The regime operates like a mafia state, where fear reigns and everything is controlled. Techet commented to “Domani” that the Fidesz-insider, who was married to the former Justice Minister of Hungary, described a regime “where the Stockholm Syndrome prevails: everyone, even those at the top of the power, are controlled and abused, the state functions like a family mafia.”

The article (behind a paywall) can be read in Italian here.

Melanie Jaindl: Intersektionalität und visuelle Versicherheitlichung von Migranten auf der Balkanroute – Angreifer, Beschützer, oder doch Feigling?

Melanie Jaindl veröffentlichte eine wissenschaftliche Analyse über das ungarische und serbische Medienframing von Migranten auf der Balkanroute in den Südosteuropa Mitteilungen 6/2023 der Südosteuropa Gesellschaft e.V.

Abstract:

Eight years after the “long summer of migration” in 2015, debates about asylum and migration are still dominating European political discourse. Photojournalistic images of people coming to Europe became engrained into collective memory, underpinning their importance in the securitization of these events. This article explores the visual securitization of migrants in Serbian and Hungarian media in 2015 at the time of the construction of a border fence between both countries. Focus is given to mediatized narratives about gender and its intersections. It shows how discourses construct identities as vulnerable or threatening and how these narratives create realities for migrants.

 

Lesen Sie es hier.